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geopolitics


India & Russia plan to open new trade route via Iran despite threat of US sanctions
Opening a long-pending multi-modal transportation corridor via Iran will be a big boost for bilateral trade between Russia and India, but it’s not just the economy at stake. This is a bold move against the threat of US sanctions.
US urges Australia to expand Pacific push to South-East Asia to counter China’s expansion
The Trump Administration has called on the Morrison Government to extend its "step-up" strategy in the Pacific to South-East Asia, as Washington grapples with China’s rising regional influence.
Chengdu Trilateral Summit still to deliver
The fact that China, Japan and South Korea (CJK) engaged in an agreed-upon trilateral summit framework, and bilateral dialogues on the sidelines, was no small achievement given heightened tensions between the three countries.
India’s geopolitical blunder will lead to economic woes
For New Delhi, though, RCEP is first and foremost an economic deal that could hurt its more vulnerable industries and lead to near-term pain.
Is free trade dead?
Conflict over trade dominated the economic headlines in 2019, so it’s surprising that the year ended with significant progress on three trade agreements.Each tells a different story about the outlook both for the global economy and for relations between nations.
Trade, not aid, is the way to persuade Pakistan to buck China’s influence
As with many other countries, Pakistan’s FTA with China has had a devastating impact on its domestic SMEs. Beijing and Islamabad have a strategic partnership, but the Chinese remain cutthroat competitors in trade.
Dumping by China? Singapore imports surge under the scanner
This level of annual spike in imports from Singapore has been unheard of despite the existence of the FTA for around 14 years now.
Japan won’t sign China-backed trade deal if India doesn’t join
Abe seeks to bolster India ties to balance China’s clout.
As the Eurasian Union looks east, its deals do not benefit all members equally
The EAEU is shopping for partners in Asia. Middle finger to the West or sound trade policy?
Breaking new ground: The EU’s push for raw materials sovereignty
When it comes to critical raw materials, the Commission is exploring fair trade agreements with Africa, Australia and Chile while the Canada-Europe trade deal could be a boon for sourcing nickel and rare earths.
Japan seeks to keep India in China-backed regional trade pact
China aims to press ahead with 15 remaining RCEP members. Japan had sought to balance China by involving India.
Recent developments in “Crimean” investment arbitration claims
While the geopolitical tensions remain, the legal landscape continues to evolve. It seems likely that more claims will be brought in each direction.
India’s trade with its FTA partners: experiences, challenges and way forward
India has viewed FTAs as an important tool to enhance its trade and investment, and signed a number of trade agreements with various countries or groups. And India’s experience intrade with its major FTA partners has not been very encouraging.
Why is Iceland the focus of Washington’s new trade strategy?
A free trade deal with Iceland has an important benefit: It’s part of a broader plan to boost America’s presence in the Arctic region as a bulwark against Russia and China.
Beyond credible commitments: (investment) treaties as focal points
Western architects of the investment regime expected the treaties to play a standard-setting role to be used in informal bargaining with host states.
Time for China to consider joining the CPTPP
After the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) made substantive progress, it is now time for China to consider joining the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP).
Japan, New Zealand to jointly aim for expanded TPP
Japan and New Zealand to work toward expanding the existing 11-member trans-Pacific partnership free trade pact as they seek further economic and regional integration in the Indo-Pacific.
RCEP: Asia races against clock to save trade deal of the decade
While there are clearly roadblocks to an agreement, there are also tailwinds — tailwinds that might never be stronger than they are right now.
The geopolitical profile of India tracks the economy’s trajectory
High growth has granted the country global relevance but others may not support us if they don’t see an economic upside.
India-China spat delays deal covering a third of global trade
A spat between the world’s most populous countries is holding up a pan-Asian trade agreement encompassing nearly a third of all global trade.